Friday, June 28, 2013

This year's breakout performer will be....

Photo From: http://www.yahoofantasyfootballrankings.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/Danny-Amendola.jpg
 
 
 
That's right, Danny Amendola. I was hesitant to call him the breakout player because injuries may prohibit him from reaching his true potential. Amendola finally got some well deserved attention last year, but he didn't truly break out. This year, he has the perfect set up. Who else does New England have to throw to?
 
He fits perfectly into the Patriots system should see a lot of targets. He saw 101 targets in 11 games last year. As I'm sure many of you math whizzes figure out, that comes out to about 10 targets a game. Welker saw 174 targets last year with the Pats. I expect Amendola to be targeted even more. I expect him to catch at least 95 passes from Brady this year. If he lasts a whole season I'm willing to say 115 catches. However, I don't think he'll last the whole season.
 
What I do expect is 95 catches and a 1,000 yard season. Touchdowns remain a question. I'd say the over/under is 5. It should also help Amendola that he is out of the NFC West, which has Godly defenses. Some may point to the cold and wonder if he will be able to catch a pass from Brady in a December blizzard. However, I am not worried about his ability to catch in the weather.
 
All in all, Amendola is well worth the risk. Just make sure you have someone lined up behind him. Happy drafting.
 
-JKSN 

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Five to love, five to hate








Players to love:

1. C.J. Spiller: Do not let Fred Jackson even put an ounce of doubt in your head. Spiller is primed for an amazing year, and hopefully it will be more appreciated this year. The star RB had 1,703 yards from scrimmage last year, with 8 total TD's. It is also worth noting that he average 6 yards per carry on 207 attempts. With a new coaching staff, Spiller's talent will finally be appreciated and used properly. If he's on the board after pick 3, don't hesitate to take him.

2. Adrian Peterson: While I fully expect a decline from his crazy numbers last year, he will still be  top 3 RB. Peterson should be the clear number one overall pick.  His history of nagging injuries should be a concern, but not a big enough one to turn owners away.

3. Calvin Johnson: The man is actually not a man. He is a machine. No matter what he will put up stellar numbers and will be a top 3 WR. This guy scares defenses and the fantasy teams who do not have him on their roster. Don't live in fear. Draft him.

4. Cam Newton: Don't let the media fool you. Cam wasn't all that bad last year. He actually improved from the year before in most passing and rushing categories. Expect that trend to continue. While he may not take off until the panthers get him a true weapon, Cam will still be a top 5 QB this year, and is great value at where he is being taken. While this may be a slight roll of the dice, the odds are in your favor.

5.  A.J. Green: He is one of the most talented young WR's in the league, and he's only getting better. He was targeted 164 times last year, and emerged as Dalton's favorite WR. Nothing has changed that this offseason. If anything, expect Green to get even more targets this year. However, the big question is can he beat 97 receptions, 11 scores, and 1,305 yards? I say yes. I predict him to have 108 catches, 14 TD's, and 1,395 yards. Draft and enjoy.

Five to hate:

1. Brandon Marshall: Can he repeat last year? I say definitely not. While Cutler does seem to bring the best out of Marshall, the bottom line is that Cutler isn't that good. Normally, I try not to look too much into the QB situation when talking about a WR, but Cutler is a cry-baby. Marshall will have to have at least one more good year to convince me he is actually back on top of his game, but I just don't see that happening.

2. Ray Rice: Vonta Leach is gone. I'm a firm believer this will cause a massive decline in Rice's numbers, along with the fact that Pierce is reportedly seriously pushing for carries. While Rice isn't poison, I wouldn't spend a first rounder on him. Call me crazy. But you'll see.

3. Alfred Morris: Morris should thank RGIII for at least half of his yards last year. He relies on him to take pressure off of Morris. Plus he is a Shanahan product. They have great bursts, but ultimately flame out. Morris gains just over 1,000 yards this season AT BEST. He's also is being way overvalued. That doesn't help his case. Stay away.

4. Larry Fitzgerald: If you haven't figured it out yet, Fitz is one of the best WR's in the game as far as real life, but streaky as far as fantasy. Yes, it's not entirely his fault, but that doesn't take away from the fact that he is overvalued year in and year out.

5. Montee Ball: A rookie RB with already a ton of carries on his resume ranked at 30? (ESPN ranking). No thanks. Besides, who knows what will be going on the Denver backfield. There are three RB's that may end up starting throughout the year. Hold off on Ball and go in another direction.




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